Today / Serbia - Prva Liga / Zemun vs Loznica

Zemun vs Loznica Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Championship Group - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Zemun

PPG 2.41 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Loznica

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-110.2%0-24.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-113.0%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.6%2-18.3%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.1%3-13.5%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 36.0% — — —

Over 3.5 16.8% — — —

BTTS 43.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.5%

H 44% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 15.1%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zemun1.3

Loznica0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.0% · O3.5 PROB 16.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZEMUN · PPG 2.41

LOZNICA · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.41) vs P(Home)=44.1%

Win probability 1X2

Zemun (H) 44.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Loznica (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zemun face Loznica in Serbia - Prva Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zemun a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Loznica 23%, so Zemun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Zemun and 0.9 for Loznica (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zemun are averaging 2.41 points per game versus 1.12 for Loznica. This match finished 1-2.

Zemun vs Loznica Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Serbia - Prva Liga Predictions