Heraclea vs Ferrandina Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Italy - Serie D - Girone H Group H - 34 Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria· Foggia Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Heraclea PPG 0.88

2-1 MISS

Ferrandina PPG 0.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Heraclea face Ferrandina in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heraclea a 42% chance, the draw 35% and Ferrandina 24%, so Heraclea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Heraclea and 0.8 for Ferrandina (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heraclea are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.19 for Ferrandina. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 34.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 23.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 13.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Heraclea

1.15

Ferrandina

0.80

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 31.4%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.88) > Away POOR (0.19)