Citta di Fasano PPG 2.19
Paganese PPG 1.69Citta di Fasano face Paganese in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Citta di Fasano a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Paganese 28%, so Citta di Fasano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Citta di Fasano and 1.0 for Paganese (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Citta di Fasano are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.69 for Paganese. This match finished 6-0.
Based on 27 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.19) > Away GOOD (1.69)