Gravina vs Real Normanna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Italy - Serie D - Girone H Group H - 34 Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino· Gravina in Puglia Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Gravina PPG 1.81

3-2 MISS

Real Normanna PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gravina face Real Normanna in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gravina a 40% chance, the draw 35% and Real Normanna 24%, so Gravina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gravina and 0.8 for Real Normanna (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gravina are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 0.81 for Real Normanna. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 35.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 24.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 29.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 12.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 38.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Gravina

1.10

Real Normanna

0.80

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 31.4%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=40.3%