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Fidelis Andria vs Pompei Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Group H - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Fidelis Andria

PPG 2.06 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Pompei

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.2%0-110.3%0-23.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.4%1-112.4%1-24.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.1%2-17.5%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.5%3-13.0%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% — — —

Draw 34.1% — — —

Away win 18.9% — — —

Over 2.5 29.2% — — —

Over 3.5 12.2% — — —

BTTS 36.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 31.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob36.3%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.2%

#2 1–0 18.4%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fidelis Andria1.2

Pompei0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FIDELIS ANDRIA · PPG 2.06

POMPEI · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=47.0%

Win probability 1X2

Fidelis Andria (H) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pompei (A) 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fidelis Andria face Pompei in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fidelis Andria a 47% chance, the draw 34% and Pompei 19%, so Fidelis Andria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Fidelis Andria and 0.7 for Pompei (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fidelis Andria are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.94 for Pompei. This match finished 1-2.

Fidelis Andria vs Pompei Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Match Preview & Prediction

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