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Afragolese PPG 1.94 
Gravina PPG 1.25
Afragolese vs Gravina Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H
Afragolese PPG 1.940-6 MISS
Gravina PPG 1.25 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Afragolese face Gravina in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Afragolese a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Gravina 21%, so Afragolese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Afragolese and 1.0 for Gravina (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Afragolese are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.25 for Gravina. This match finished 0-6.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: — —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Afragolese 2.19
Gravina 0.97
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 31.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)