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S. Ogliastra vs Olbia Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 34 Campo Sportivo Is Arranas· Tertenia Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00
S. Ogliastra logo S. Ogliastra PPG 1.38
2-2 MISS
Olbia logo Olbia PPG 1.00
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Ogliastra face Olbia in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Ogliastra a 42% chance, the draw 29% and Olbia 28%, so S. Ogliastra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for S. Ogliastra and 1.2 for Olbia (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Ogliastra are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.00 for Olbia. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 29.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 28.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: —
BTTS 55.9% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Ogliastra
1.50
Olbia
1.19

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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