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Flaminia vs Budoni Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Group G - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Flaminia

PPG 1.31 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Budoni

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-110.4%0-24.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.7%1-112.8%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-17.9%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.2%3-13.3%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 40.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.3% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.5%

#2 1–0 16.7%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1✓ 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flaminia1.2

Budoni0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FLAMINIA · PPG 1.31

BUDONI · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.31), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Flaminia (H) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Budoni (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flaminia face Budoni in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flaminia a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Budoni 25%, so Flaminia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Flaminia and 0.8 for Budoni (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flaminia are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.38 for Budoni. This match finished 0-1.

Flaminia vs Budoni Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Match Preview & Prediction

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