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Budoni vs Latte Dolce Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Group G - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Budoni

PPG 1.19 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Latte Dolce

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-19.6%0-25.5%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.1%1-112.8%1-27.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.4%2-18.5%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.3%3-13.8%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% — — —

Draw 30.8% — — —

Away win 30.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.2% — — —

Over 3.5 23.9% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

D 31% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0✓ 8.3%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 0–1 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budoni1.3

Latte Dolce1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.2% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDONI · PPG 1.19

LATTE DOLCE · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Budoni (H) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Latte Dolce (A) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Budoni face Latte Dolce in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budoni a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Latte Dolce 30%, so Budoni are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Budoni and 1.2 for Latte Dolce (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budoni are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.31 for Latte Dolce. This match finished 0-0.

Budoni vs Latte Dolce Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Match Preview & Prediction

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