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Montespaccato vs Flaminia Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 34 Campo Sportivo Montespaccato· Roma Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00
Montespaccato logo Montespaccato PPG 0.88
2-4 MISS
Flaminia logo Flaminia PPG 1.69
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Montespaccato face Flaminia in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Montespaccato a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Flaminia 43%, so Flaminia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Montespaccato and 1.5 for Flaminia (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Montespaccato are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.69 for Flaminia. This match finished 2-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 28.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 43.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 30.0% Odds: —
BTTS 57.2% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Montespaccato
1.22
Flaminia
1.54

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.69) vs Home POOR (0.88)

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