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Nocerina PPG 1.13 
Ischia PPG 1.06
Nocerina vs Ischia Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G
Nocerina PPG 1.130-1 MISS
Ischia PPG 1.06 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Nocerina face Ischia in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nocerina a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Ischia 24%, so Nocerina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nocerina and 0.9 for Ischia (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nocerina are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.06 for Ischia. This match finished 0-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Away
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 40.9% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: — —
BTTS 47.5% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Nocerina 1.38
Ischia 0.94
Model Suggestion
No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 24 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 42%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.06)