R. Monterotondo vs Valmontone Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 34 Stadio Fausto Cecconi· Monterotondo Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

R. Monterotondo PPG 1.44

0-5 MISS

Valmontone PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Monterotondo face Valmontone in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Monterotondo a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Valmontone 35%, so R. Monterotondo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for R. Monterotondo and 1.4 for Valmontone (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Monterotondo are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.63 for Valmontone. This match finished 0-5.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 34.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 60.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

R. Monterotondo

1.49

Valmontone

1.43

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away GOOD (1.63)