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CynthiAlbalonga vs Scafatese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Group G - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

CynthiAlbalonga

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Scafatese

PPG 2.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.56) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-19.0%0-28.1%0-34.8%0-4+3.3%1 1-06.0%1-110.8%1-29.7%1-35.8%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.6%2-16.4%2-25.8%2-33.5%2-4+2.4%3 3-01.4%3-12.6%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.8% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 49.9% — — —

Over 2.5 57.7% — — —

Over 3.5 35.3% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.9%

A 50% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.1%

#4 0–1 9.0%

#5 0–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CynthiAlbalonga1.2

Scafatese1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.7% · O3.5 PROB 35.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CYNTHIALBALONGA · PPG 2.00

SCAFATESE · PPG 2.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.56) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

CynthiAlbalonga (H) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Scafatese (A) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CynthiAlbalonga face Scafatese in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CynthiAlbalonga a 24% chance, the draw 26% and Scafatese 50%, so Scafatese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for CynthiAlbalonga and 1.8 for Scafatese (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CynthiAlbalonga are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.56 for Scafatese. This match finished 1-4.

CynthiAlbalonga vs Scafatese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Match Preview & Prediction

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