Anzio vs Trastevere Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 34 Stadio Riccardo Caporuscio· Pontinia Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Anzio PPG 1.06

2-0 MISS

Trastevere PPG 1.56

Away· -0.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Anzio face Trastevere in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anzio a 29% chance, the draw 29% and Trastevere 43%, so Trastevere are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Anzio and 1.5 for Trastevere (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anzio are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.56 for Trastevere. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.9%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -22.0%

Draw 28.6%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -5.6%

Away 42.5%

Odds: 2.35 EV: -0.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.73 -9.0%

Over 3.5 30.3% Odds: 2.75 -16.7%

BTTS 57.6% Odds: 1.55 -10.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Anzio

1.24

Trastevere

1.54

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.06) vs Away GOOD (1.56)