Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone G / Cassino vs A. Lodigiani

Cassino vs A. Lodigiani Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Group G - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Cassino

PPG 0.88 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

A. Lodigiani

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-113.4%0-28.5%0-33.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.4%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.1%2-16.4%2-24.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.7%3-12.1%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% — — —

Draw 32.4% — — —

Away win 40.9% — — —

Over 2.5 38.8% — — —

Over 3.5 18.9% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob46.7%

A 41% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.6%

#3 0–1 13.4%

#4 0–2✓ 8.5%

#5 1–0 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cassino1.0

A. Lodigiani1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CASSINO · PPG 0.88

A. LODIGIANI · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Cassino (H) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Lodigiani (A) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cassino face A. Lodigiani in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cassino a 27% chance, the draw 32% and A. Lodigiani 41%, so A. Lodigiani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cassino and 1.3 for A. Lodigiani (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cassino are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.88 for A. Lodigiani. This match finished 0-2.

Cassino vs A. Lodigiani Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie D - Girone G Predictions