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T. Traiana vs Orvietana Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Group E - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

T. Traiana

PPG 1.81 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Orvietana

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-112.8%0-25.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.8%1-113.3%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.2%2-17.0%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.9%3-12.4%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 35.7% — — —

Away win 26.9% — — —

Over 2.5 29.4% — — —

Over 3.5 12.4% — — —

BTTS 39.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob39.0%

H 37% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.1%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 15.8%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Traiana1.0

Orvietana0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.4% · O3.5 PROB 12.4%

Form & verdict PPG

T. TRAIANA · PPG 1.81

ORVIETANA · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

T. Traiana (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Orvietana (A) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Traiana face Orvietana in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Traiana a 37% chance, the draw 36% and Orvietana 27%, so T. Traiana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for T. Traiana and 0.8 for Orvietana (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Traiana are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.25 for Orvietana. This match finished 0-0.

T. Traiana vs Orvietana Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Match Preview & Prediction

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