Grosseto PPG 2.19
San Donato PPG 1.00Grosseto face San Donato in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grosseto a 68% chance, the draw 22% and San Donato 9%, so Grosseto are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Grosseto and 0.4 for San Donato (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grosseto are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.00 for San Donato. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.6%. This match finished 0-2.
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.19), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus