San Donato vs Seravezza Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Italy - Serie D - Girone E Group E - 34 Stadio Comunale Pianigiani· Tavarnelle Val di Pesa Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

San Donato PPG 1.25

1-1 HIT CS2

Seravezza PPG 1.00

Draw· +5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

San Donato face Seravezza in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Donato a 31% chance, the draw 35% and Seravezza 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for San Donato and 1.0 for Seravezza (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Donato are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Seravezza. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.6%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -5.1%

Draw 35.2%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +5.6%

Away 34.2%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -23.1%

Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.4% Odds: 2.20 -30.9%

Over 3.5 13.7% Odds: 4.20 -42.5%

BTTS 41.1% Odds: 1.85 -24.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

San Donato

0.95

Seravezza

1.02

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 59%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)