Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone E / Gavorrano vs Tau Altopascio

Gavorrano vs Tau Altopascio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Group E - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Gavorrano

PPG 1.06 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Tau Altopascio

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-112.6%0-28.3%0-33.7%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.8%1-113.0%1-28.6%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.0%2-16.7%2-24.4%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.7%3-12.3%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.1% — — —

Draw 31.5% — — —

Away win 41.4% — — —

Over 2.5 41.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 49.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.0%

A 41% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.6%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–2✓ 8.6%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gavorrano1.0

Tau Altopascio1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GAVORRANO · PPG 1.06

TAU ALTOPASCIO · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Gavorrano (H) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tau Altopascio (A) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gavorrano face Tau Altopascio in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gavorrano a 27% chance, the draw 32% and Tau Altopascio 41%, so Tau Altopascio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gavorrano and 1.3 for Tau Altopascio (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gavorrano are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.31 for Tau Altopascio. This match finished 1-2.

Gavorrano vs Tau Altopascio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Match Preview & Prediction

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