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Foligno PPG 1.88 
Cannara PPG 0.44
Foligno vs Cannara Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E
Foligno PPG 1.881-0 HIT CS2
Cannara PPG 0.44 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Foligno face Cannara in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Foligno a 59% chance, the draw 26% and Cannara 15%, so Foligno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Foligno and 0.8 for Cannara (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Foligno are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.44 for Cannara. This match finished 1-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.8% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 25.2% Odds: — —
BTTS 46.6% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Foligno 1.76
Cannara 0.78
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 22 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 59%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=59.1%