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San Luigi PPG 1.06 
Obermais PPG 0.50
San Luigi vs Obermais Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C
San Luigi PPG 1.061-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Obermais PPG 0.50 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
San Luigi face Obermais in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Luigi a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Obermais 32%, so San Luigi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for San Luigi and 1.1 for Obermais (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Luigi are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.50 for Obermais. This match finished 1-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Draw
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 42.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: — —
BTTS 49.9% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
San Luigi 1.22
Obermais 1.14
Model Suggestion
No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 78%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 74%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.50)