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Portogruaro vs Clodiense Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Portogruaro

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Clodiense

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.63) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-112.0%0-211.0%0-36.8%0-4+4.7%1 1-05.8%1-110.7%1-29.8%1-36.0%1-4+4.2%2 2-02.6%2-14.8%2-24.4%2-32.7%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.8%3-11.4%3-21.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.2% — — —

Draw 25.7% — — —

Away win 58.1% — — —

Over 2.5 51.3% — — —

Over 3.5 29.2% — — —

BTTS 51.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob51.1%

A 58% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 0–2✓ 11.0%

#3 0–1 12.0%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portogruaro0.9

Clodiense1.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTOGRUARO · PPG 0.50

CLODIENSE · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.63) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Portogruaro (H) 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Clodiense (A) 58.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Portogruaro face Clodiense in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portogruaro a 16% chance, the draw 26% and Clodiense 58%, so Clodiense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Portogruaro and 1.8 for Clodiense (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portogruaro are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.63 for Clodiense. This match finished 0-2.

Portogruaro vs Clodiense Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

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