Brian Lignano vs Bassano Virtus Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Italy - Serie D - Girone C Group C - 33 Stadio Guido Teghil· Lignano Sabbiadoro Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Brian Lignano PPG 1.75

1-1 HIT CS3

Bassano Virtus PPG 1.31

Draw· -2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Brian Lignano face Bassano Virtus in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brian Lignano a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Bassano Virtus 24%, so Brian Lignano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Brian Lignano and 0.8 for Bassano Virtus (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brian Lignano are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.31 for Bassano Virtus. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.3%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -7.1%

Draw 30.4%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -2.7%

Away 24.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -24.4%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: 2.00 -11.2%

Over 3.5 15.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Brian Lignano

1.29

Bassano Virtus

0.75

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 78%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 74%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)