Altavilla vs Mestre Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Italy - Serie D - Girone C Group C - 33 Stadio Comunale di Altavilla Vicentina· Altavilla Vicentina Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Altavilla PPG 1.50

1-0 HIT CS2

Mestre PPG 1.63

Draw· +11.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Altavilla face Mestre in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altavilla a 36% chance, the draw 39% and Mestre 25%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Altavilla and 0.6 for Mestre (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altavilla are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.63 for Mestre. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +11.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.5%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -2.4%

Draw 39.1%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +11.4%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -37.8%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 24.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 5.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Altavilla

0.78

Mestre

0.59

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.63)