Bassano Virtus vs Calvi Noale Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Italy - Serie D - Girone C Group C - 34 Stadio Rino Mercante· Bassano del Grappa Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Bassano Virtus PPG 1.75

0-1 HIT CS5

Calvi Noale PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bassano Virtus face Calvi Noale in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bassano Virtus a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Calvi Noale 24%, so Bassano Virtus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bassano Virtus and 0.9 for Calvi Noale (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bassano Virtus are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.94 for Calvi Noale. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 32.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 23.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 17.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 43.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Bassano Virtus

1.27

Calvi Noale

0.87

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=43.8%