Mestre vs Treviso Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Italy - Serie D - Girone C Group C - 34 Stadio Francesco Baracca· Mestre Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Mestre PPG 1.63

1-0 HIT CS4

Treviso PPG 2.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Mestre face Treviso in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mestre a 28% chance, the draw 34% and Treviso 38%, so Treviso are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mestre and 1.1 for Treviso (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mestre are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 2.19 for Treviso. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 34.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 37.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 43.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Mestre

0.94

Treviso

1.12

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 78%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 74%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home GOOD (1.63)