Adriese vs Brian Lignano Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Italy - Serie D - Girone C Group C - 34 Stadio Luigi Bettinazzi· Adria Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Adriese PPG 0.81

0-4 MISS

Brian Lignano PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Adriese face Brian Lignano in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adriese a 19% chance, the draw 27% and Brian Lignano 54%, so Brian Lignano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Adriese and 1.7 for Brian Lignano (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adriese are averaging 0.81 points per game versus 1.50 for Brian Lignano. This match finished 0-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 18.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 27.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 53.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 27.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 51.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Adriese

0.93

Brian Lignano

1.70

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.81)