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Este PPG 1.69 
Luparense PPG 1.25
Este vs Luparense Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C
Este PPG 1.692-0 HIT CS4
Luparense PPG 1.25 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Este face Luparense in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Este a 42% chance, the draw 33% and Luparense 25%, so Este are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Este and 0.9 for Luparense (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Este are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.25 for Luparense. This match finished 2-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 36.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 16.8% Odds: — —
BTTS 44.1% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✔
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Este 1.23
Luparense 0.91
Model Suggestion
No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 78%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 74%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)