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Campodarsego vs Cjarlins Muzane Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Campodarsego

PPG 1.56 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

Cjarlins Muzane

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-111.9%0-26.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.3%1-113.4%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.5%2-17.6%2-23.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.8%3-12.8%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% — — —

Draw 33.6% — — —

Away win 30.2% — — —

Over 2.5 36.0% — — —

Over 3.5 16.8% — — —

BTTS 45.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.0%

D 34% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Campodarsego1.1

Cjarlins Muzane1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.0% · O3.5 PROB 16.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMPODARSEGO · PPG 1.56

CJARLINS MUZANE · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

Campodarsego (H) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cjarlins Muzane (A) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Campodarsego face Cjarlins Muzane in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Campodarsego a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Cjarlins Muzane 30%, so Campodarsego are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Campodarsego and 1.0 for Cjarlins Muzane (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Campodarsego are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.19 for Cjarlins Muzane. This match finished 4-1.

Campodarsego vs Cjarlins Muzane Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

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