Valenzana vs Chisola Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 34 Stadio Comunale· Valenza Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Valenzana PPG 1.56

2-3 MISS

Chisola PPG 1.40

Draw· -1.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Valenzana face Chisola in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valenzana a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Chisola 36%, so Chisola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Valenzana and 1.2 for Chisola (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valenzana are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.40 for Chisola. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.2%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -6.4%

Draw 32.7%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -1.9%

Away 36.0%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -17.2%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.0% Odds: 2.20 -14.2%

Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 4.20 -20.2%

BTTS 47.4% Odds: 1.85 -12.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Valenzana

1.07

Chisola

1.17

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.40)