AS Biellese vs Gozzano Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 33 Stadio Comunale Vittorio Pozzo Lamarmora· Biella Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

AS Biellese PPG 1.69

2-0 HIT CS2

Gozzano PPG 1.06

Home· +11.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

AS Biellese face Gozzano in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AS Biellese a 55% chance, the draw 29% and Gozzano 16%, so AS Biellese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for AS Biellese and 0.6 for Gozzano (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AS Biellese are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.06 for Gozzano. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.2%

Odds: 2.02 EV: +11.5%

Draw 28.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -11.0%

Away 16.2%

Odds: 3.38 EV: -45.2%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.13 +6.5%

Over 3.5 20.8% Odds: 3.74 -22.2%

BTTS 49.5% Odds: 1.86 -7.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Biellese

1.74

Gozzano

0.60

Model SuggestionHome +11.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)