Valenzana vs Lavagnese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Match Preview & Prediction

Valenzana face Lavagnese in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valenzana a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Lavagnese 22%, so Valenzana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Valenzana and 0.8 for Lavagnese (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valenzana are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.80 for Lavagnese. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.4%. This match finished 2-0.