NovaRomentin vs Vado Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 33 Campo Sportivo Romentino· Romentino Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

NovaRomentin PPG 1.00

0-5 MISS

Vado PPG 1.94

Draw· -4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

NovaRomentin face Vado in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NovaRomentin a 9% chance, the draw 24% and Vado 68%, so Vado are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for NovaRomentin and 2.6 for Vado (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NovaRomentin are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.94 for Vado. This match finished 0-5.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 8.5%

Odds: 7.20 EV: -38.8%

Draw 24.0%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -4.0%

Away 67.5%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -8.2%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.60 -5.6%

Over 3.5 39.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-3 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-4 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

NovaRomentin

0.57

Vado

2.62

Model SuggestionAway -8.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -8.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.94) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)