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Gozzano vs Chisola Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 32 Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas· Gozzano Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Gozzano logo Gozzano PPG 1.07
3-2 MISS
Chisola logo Chisola PPG 1.50
Draw· -6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gozzano face Chisola in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gozzano a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Chisola 32%, so Gozzano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gozzano and 0.9 for Chisola (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gozzano are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.50 for Chisola. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.6%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -9.2%
Draw 32.1%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -6.9%
Away 32.3%
Odds: 2.60 EV: -16.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.8% Odds: 2.30 -33.8%
Over 3.5 12.0% Odds: —
BTTS 36.8% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gozzano
0.96
Chisola
0.90

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 37%
BTTS/No 37%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.07) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

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