Club Milano vs NovaRomentin Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 32 Vista Vision Stadium· Pero Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Club Milano PPG 1.20

6-1 MISS

NovaRomentin PPG 0.33

Away· +39.7% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Club Milano face NovaRomentin in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club Milano a 67% chance, the draw 20% and NovaRomentin 13%, so Club Milano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Club Milano and 0.7 for NovaRomentin (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club Milano are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.33 for NovaRomentin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +39.7%. This match finished 6-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.0%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -16.3%

Draw 20.3%

Odds: 4.40 EV: -10.7%

Away 12.7%

Odds: 11.00 EV: +39.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.0% Odds: 1.70 -13.3%

Over 3.5 28.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 44.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Club Milano

1.99

NovaRomentin

0.73

Model SuggestionHome -16.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+39.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 37%

BTTS/No 37%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.20), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus