Ligorna vs NovaRomentin Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Match Preview & Prediction

Ligorna face NovaRomentin in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ligorna a 74% chance, the draw 18% and NovaRomentin 8%, so Ligorna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Ligorna and 0.7 for NovaRomentin (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ligorna are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 0.31 for NovaRomentin. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 9-1.