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Saluzzo PPG 1.25 
Derthona PPG 1.75
Saluzzo vs Derthona Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A
Saluzzo PPG 1.251-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Derthona PPG 1.75 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Saluzzo face Derthona in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Saluzzo a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Derthona 28%, so Saluzzo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Saluzzo and 1.1 for Derthona (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Saluzzo are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.75 for Derthona. This match finished 1-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 25.2% Odds: — —
BTTS 53.2% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Saluzzo 1.41
Derthona 1.14
Model Suggestion
BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 37%
BTTS/No 37%
Score Hit 33%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
DANGER 45%
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.25) vs Away GOOD (1.75)