Asti vs Ligorna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 33 Stadio Vincenzo Cesin Bosia· Asti Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Asti PPG 0.94

1-1 HIT CS3

Ligorna PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Asti face Ligorna in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Asti a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Ligorna 40%, so Ligorna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Asti and 1.3 for Ligorna (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Asti are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.88 for Ligorna. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 31.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 40.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 14.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Asti

0.68

Ligorna

1.30

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.94)