Lavagnese vs Citta di Varese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 34 Stadio Edoardo Riboli· Lavagna Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Lavagnese PPG 0.94

2-3 MISS

Citta di Varese PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lavagnese face Citta di Varese in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lavagnese a 31% chance, the draw 31% and Citta di Varese 38%, so Citta di Varese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lavagnese and 1.3 for Citta di Varese (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lavagnese are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.56 for Citta di Varese. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 31.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 37.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 22.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 51.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lavagnese

1.14

Citta di Varese

1.28

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.94)