Hamburger SV B vs Phonix Lubeck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Germany - Regionalliga - Nord North - 32 Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage· Hamburg Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00

Hamburger SV B PPG 1.40

0-1 MISS

Phonix Lubeck PPG 1.20

Draw· +0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hamburger SV B face Phonix Lubeck in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hamburger SV B a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Phonix Lubeck 32%, so Hamburger SV B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hamburger SV B and 1.4 for Phonix Lubeck (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hamburger SV B are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.20 for Phonix Lubeck. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.4%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -19.3%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +0.9%

Away 31.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -1.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.8% Odds: 1.57 -6.1%

Over 3.5 37.5% Odds: 2.45 -8.1%

BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.50 -4.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hamburger SV B

1.66

Phonix Lubeck

1.44

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.20)