Today / Puerto Cabello vs Trujillanos

Puerto Cabello vs Trujillanos Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Puerto Cabello

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Trujillanos

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.40), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-12.8%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.4%1-16.7%1-21.7%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.9%2-18.0%2-22.0%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.6%3-16.3%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-013.1%4+-16.5%4+-21.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 79.3% — — —

Draw 14.6% — — —

Away win 6.1% — — —

Over 2.5 54.8% — — —

Over 3.5 32.4% — — —

BTTS 35.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob35.7%

H 79% / xG 2.4-0.5 / O2.5 55% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.9%

#2 1–0 13.4%

#3 3–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 4–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Cabello2.4

Trujillanos0.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO CABELLO · PPG 1.40

TRUJILLANOS · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.40), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Cabello (H) 79.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trujillanos (A) 6.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Cabello face Trujillanos on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Cabello a 79% chance, the draw 15% and Trujillanos 6%, so Puerto Cabello are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Puerto Cabello and 0.5 for Trujillanos (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Cabello are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.20 for Trujillanos.

Puerto Cabello vs Trujillanos Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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