Today / Jastrzebie vs Z. Sosnowiec

Jastrzebie vs Z. Sosnowiec Prediction

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 15:00

Jastrzebie

PPG 0.31 · HOME

UPCOMING

Z. Sosnowiec

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.31)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-111.6%0-29.9%0-35.7%0-4+3.6%1 1-06.6%1-111.4%1-29.7%1-35.6%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.3%2-15.6%2-24.8%2-32.7%2-4+1.7%3 3-01.1%3-11.8%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.6% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 54.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 28.5% — — —

BTTS 51.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob51.3%

A 55% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 11.6%

#2 1–1 11.4%

#3 0–2 9.9%

#4 1–2 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jastrzebie1.0

Z. Sosnowiec1.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JASTRZEBIE · PPG 0.31

Z. SOSNOWIEC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.31)

Win probability 1X2

Jastrzebie (H) 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Z. Sosnowiec (A) 54.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jastrzebie face Z. Sosnowiec on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jastrzebie a 22% chance, the draw 24% and Z. Sosnowiec 55%, so Z. Sosnowiec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Jastrzebie and 1.7 for Z. Sosnowiec (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jastrzebie are averaging 0.31 points per game versus 1.00 for Z. Sosnowiec.

Jastrzebie vs Z. Sosnowiec Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions