Recreativo H. PPG 2.13
Xerez D. FC PPG 0.81Recreativo H. face Xerez D. FC in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Recreativo H. a 50% chance, the draw 31% and Xerez D. FC 19%, so Recreativo H. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Recreativo H. and 0.8 for Xerez D. FC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Recreativo H. are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.81 for Xerez D. FC. This match finished 3-2.
Based on 24 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=49.6%