Today / Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 / La Union vs Puente Genil
La Union vs Puente Genil Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Group 4 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 24 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 44% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.8%
Form & verdict
LA UNION · PPG 1.50
PUENTE GENIL · PPG 0.67
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=43.8%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
La Union face Puente Genil in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives La Union a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Puente Genil 25%, so La Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for La Union and 1.0 for Puente Genil (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, La Union are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.67 for Puente Genil. This match finished 1-0.