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La Union PPG 1.50 
Puente Genil PPG 0.67
La Union vs Puente Genil Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
La Union PPG 1.501-0 HIT CS3
Puente Genil PPG 0.67 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
La Union face Puente Genil in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives La Union a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Puente Genil 25%, so La Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for La Union and 1.0 for Puente Genil (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, La Union are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.67 for Puente Genil. This match finished 1-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 41.3% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 20.8% Odds: — —
BTTS 48.2% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✔
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
La Union 1.36
Puente Genil 0.97
Model Suggestion
No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 24 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 58%
ROI 15.0%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=43.8%