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Real Jaen vs Antoniano Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Group 4 - 34 Nuevo Estadio La Victoria· Jaén Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Real Jaen logo Real Jaen PPG 2.19
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Antoniano logo Antoniano PPG 0.44
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Jaen face Antoniano in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Jaen a 48% chance, the draw 31% and Antoniano 21%, so Real Jaen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Real Jaen and 0.9 for Antoniano (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Jaen are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 0.44 for Antoniano. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 31.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 21.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 19.4% Odds: —
BTTS 45.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Jaen
1.41
Antoniano
0.86

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 58%
ROI 15.0%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs P(Home)=47.9%

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