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D. Minera vs Lorca Deportiva Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Group 4 - 34 Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán· El Llano del Beal Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
D. Minera logo D. Minera PPG 2.44
1-0 HIT CS2
Lorca Deportiva logo Lorca Deportiva PPG 1.00
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Minera face Lorca Deportiva in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Minera a 50% chance, the draw 30% and Lorca Deportiva 20%, so D. Minera are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for D. Minera and 0.9 for Lorca Deportiva (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Minera are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 1.00 for Lorca Deportiva. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 30.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 20.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: —
BTTS 47.0% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Minera
1.49
Lorca Deportiva
0.88

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 58%
ROI 15.0%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=49.7%

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