D. Minera PPG 2.44
Lorca Deportiva PPG 1.00D. Minera face Lorca Deportiva in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Minera a 50% chance, the draw 30% and Lorca Deportiva 20%, so D. Minera are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for D. Minera and 0.9 for Lorca Deportiva (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Minera are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 1.00 for Lorca Deportiva. This match finished 1-0.
Based on 24 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=49.7%