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Torrent vs FC Barcelona B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Torrent

PPG 1.06 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FC Barcelona B

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-110.6%0-28.3%0-34.3%0-4+2.4%1 1-07.6%1-111.9%1-29.3%1-34.9%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.3%2-16.7%2-25.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.6%3-12.5%3-22.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.7% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 45.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 28.5% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.3%

A 46% / xG 1.1-1.6 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 0–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 6.8%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torrent1.1

FC Barcelona B1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TORRENT · PPG 1.06

FC BARCELONA B · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

Torrent (H) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Barcelona B (A) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torrent face FC Barcelona B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torrent a 26% chance, the draw 29% and FC Barcelona B 46%, so FC Barcelona B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Torrent and 1.6 for FC Barcelona B (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torrent are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.19 for FC Barcelona B. This match finished 3-1.

Torrent vs FC Barcelona B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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