Andratx vs Atletic Lleida Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 34 Camp Municipal Sa Plana· Andratx Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00

Andratx PPG 1.56

3-0 MISS

Atletic Lleida PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Andratx face Atletic Lleida in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Andratx a 37% chance, the draw 31% and Atletic Lleida 32%, so Andratx are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Andratx and 1.2 for Atletic Lleida (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Andratx are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.69 for Atletic Lleida. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 31.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 31.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 23.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 51.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Andratx

1.28

Atletic Lleida

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=37.1%