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Barbastro vs Castellon B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 33 Estadio Municipal de Deportes· Barbastro Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
Barbastro logo Barbastro PPG 1.13
3-1 HIT CS5
Castellon B logo Castellon B PPG 1.13
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Barbastro face Castellon B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barbastro a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Castellon B 24%, so Barbastro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Barbastro and 1.1 for Castellon B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barbastro are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.13 for Castellon B. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 27.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 24.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 39.5% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Barbastro
2.10
Castellon B
1.08

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5/Under 69%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

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