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Olot vs Valencia B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Olot

PPG 1.81 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Valencia B

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-110.2%0-25.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.9%1-113.0%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.6%2-18.3%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.2%3-13.5%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% — — —

Draw 31.6% — — —

Away win 29.8% — — —

Over 2.5 42.3% — — —

Over 3.5 21.5% — — —

BTTS 49.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.9%

D 32% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olot1.3

Valencia B1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OLOT · PPG 1.81

VALENCIA B · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=38.6%

Win probability 1X2

Olot (H) 38.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Valencia B (A) 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olot face Valencia B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olot a 39% chance, the draw 32% and Valencia B 30%, so Olot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Olot and 1.1 for Valencia B (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olot are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 0.88 for Valencia B. This match finished 2-0.

Olot vs Valencia B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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